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Outline of a New Approach to the Analysis of Complex Systems and Decision Processes

Partners' Institution
University of Perugia
Reference
L. A. Zadeh; 1973. Outline of a New Approach to the Analysis of Complex Systems and Decision Processes. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, vol. SMC-3, no. 1, 28-44.
Thematic Area
Artificial intelligence (computer science and mathematics), Chemistry/Biology, Simulations of physical behaviors (computer science, biomedicine, mathematics, mechanics), Sociology and Philosophy, Systems thinking-Theoretical framework and assessment
DOI
doi: 10.1109/TSMC.1973.5408575
Summary
The approach described in this paper represents a substantive departure from the conventional quantitative techniques of system analysis. It has three main distinguishing features: 1) use of so-called ``linguistic'' variables in place of or in addition to numerical variables; 2) characterization of simple relations between variables by fuzzy conditional statements; and 3) characterization of complex relations by fuzzy algorithms. A linguistic variable is defined as a variable whose values are sentences in a natural or artificial language. Thus, if tall, not tall, very tall, very very tall, etc. are values of height, then height is a linguistic variable. Fuzzy conditional statements are expressions of the form IF A THEN B, where A and B have fuzzy meaning, e.g., IF x is small THEN y is large, where small and large are viewed as labels of fuzzy sets. A fuzzy algorithm is an ordered sequence of instructions which may contain fuzzy assignment and conditional statements, e.g., x = very small, IF x is small THEN Y is large. The execution of such instructions is governed by the compositional rule of inference and the rule of the preponderant alternative. By relying on the use of linguistic variables and fuzzy algorithms, the approach provides an approximate and yet effective means of describing the behavior of systems which are too complex or too ill-defined to admit of precise mathematical analysis.
Relevance for Complex Systems Knowledge
The traditional techniques of system analysis are not well suited for dealing with humanistic systems because they fail to come to grips with the reality of the fuzziness of human thinking and behavior. To deal with such systems realistically, we need approaches which do not make a fetish of precision, rigor, and mathematical formalism, and which employ instead a methodological framework which is tolerant of imprecision and partial truths. This methodological framework is fuzzy logic.
Point of Strength
The conventional quantitative techniques of system analysis are intrinsically unsuited for dealing with humanistic systems. The basis of this statement is the principle of incompatibility. The essence of this principle is that as the complexity of a system increases, our ability to make precise and yet significant statements about its behavior diminishes until a threshold is reached beyond which accuracy and significance (or relevance) become almost mutually exclusive characteristics.
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